Photo by Rich Storry\/Getty Images <\/p>\n
Almost three months of Major League Baseball are in the books. Its time to attack the sportsbooks. Lets look at some of the best bets for the Saturday, June 22 MLB betting card. <\/p>\n
Here are my favorite DraftKings Sportsbook picks for Saturdays slate of MLB games. <\/p>\n
Follow along on Twitter (@Race4thePrize) for updates. <\/p>\n
View the latest odds and bet online legally at a top rated Sportsbook! Place a bet now at DraftKings Sportsbook!* <\/p>\n
*Odds and lines are for illustrative purposes only. <\/p>\n
Thats right. Take the under at Coors Field. It defies traditional thinking. Runs have been piling up in Colorado this week. The two teams combined for 16 runs on Friday. The scoreboard operator has been wearing out the buttons. Saturday will be a day of rest. The offenses arent great. That often does not matter at Coors. The 10-run total defaults. The line is automatic when obviously elite pitchers dont take the mound. Saturdays pitching matchup does not feature Cy Young contenders. Theyre not superstars but theyve been stars. These two pitchers do a lot of things right and can succeed or survive in Coors Field. <\/p>\n
Cal Quantrill doesnt have flashy advanced stats. His SIERA (Skill-Interactive ERA) is 4.74. He doesnt generate swing-and-misses (9%), so his strikeout rate is low (17%). His walk rate is a little too high, as well (7%). That should be a problem for a pitcher in Coors Field, but Quantrill is making it work in his first season with Colorado. He doesnt give in to batters. Hell walk them or force them to hit his pitch. His groundball rate is 47% and his strand rate is 79.8%. The result is a 3.43 ERA. <\/p>\n
Mitchell Parker is another pitcher the Velo nerds hate. He doesnt have elite stuff. His spin rate is not off the charts. The southpaw rookie has a good fastball and curve, but for the most part, he just pitches. He opened his Major League career by holding the Dodgers to two earned runs in five innings and followed by shutting out the Astros across seven. Hes allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of his 12 starts (3.06 ERA). <\/p>\n
There is a wind tunnel in Cleveland. As mentioned in previous DK Network MLB Best Bets articles, Clevelands stadium was renovated, resulting in the ball flying out in rightfield. This is a huge advantage for left-handed batters. Its been a boon for the boom of Jose Rameriz. His ISO is 66 points higher at home (.290 vs. .224). His ISO splits are the highest against right-handed pitching at home (.300). Rameriz is aware of the new phenomenon in Cleveland. His flyball rate is 58.2% in matchups with right-handed pitchers. <\/p>\n
Jose Berrios has been solid against left-handed batters (.283 wOBA allowed to LHB). Hes also been lucky. His batting average against is .194 and his BABIP is .194. Regression is coming. Saturday night could be the start. The right-handed pitcher is allowing 1.52 HR\/9 to left-handed batters. Since the beginning of May, his flyball rate is 42.7% and his FB\/HR ratio is 17%. And hes not missing bats either 3.57 K\/9 in June. The result is 12 home runs allowed in his last 10 starts. <\/p>\n
Some day we will talk about these starting pitchers as Cy Young contenders. Maybe, we wont. Either way, these prospects have potential. Potential is not present. Young pitchers go through growing pains. Randy Vasquez and Carlos Rodriguez are experiencing normal growing pains. <\/p>\n
Vasquez has earned his 5.70 ERA. He doesnt strike anyone out (15%) and batters are eating him up (.370 wOBA in 38 innings). Allowing contact to the Milwaukee hitters is not a good idea .331 wOBA and 114 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Rodriguez has only made two Big-League starts. In his 8.1 innings, hes allowed seven runs, 13 hits, three walks and a 41% flyball rate. Rodriguez can survive on strikeouts (9.8 K\/9), but the Padres dont strike out (19% K-Rate vs. RHP) and they hit right-handers hard .332 wOBA and 120 wRC+. <\/p>\n
Follow me on Twitter for daily MLB picks and info @Race4thePrize. <\/p>\n
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. <\/p>\n
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