{"id":1125981,"date":"2024-06-13T16:36:24","date_gmt":"2024-06-13T20:36:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/uncategorized\/a-second-trump-term-from-unthinkable-to-probable-the-economist\/"},"modified":"2024-06-13T16:36:24","modified_gmt":"2024-06-13T20:36:24","slug":"a-second-trump-term-from-unthinkable-to-probable-the-economist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/donald-trump\/a-second-trump-term-from-unthinkable-to-probable-the-economist\/","title":{"rendered":"A second Trump term: from unthinkable to probable &#8211; The Economist"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>    WHEN DONALD    TRUMP left office in January 2021 his political career    seemed over. It was not just Democrats who thought so. We are    very, very close to being able to ignore Trump most nights,    wrote     Tucker Carlson privately when he was still the host of Fox    Newss most popular evening show. I truly cant wait. Mr    Carlson did not get his wish. Our statistical forecast,        which we launch this week, gives Mr Trump a two-in-three    chance of winning in November. This is the same model, plus    some refinements, that made Joe Biden a strong favourite to    become president in 2020. Tested on election data from previous    elections (with no knowledge of the outcome), the model gave    Barack Obama about the same chance of winning in 2012 at this    point in the race as it gives Mr Trump now. Like most    pundits, it thought Hillary Clinton likelier to win in    2016a reminder that models, though they offer a rigorous way    to think about the world, are not crystal balls.  <\/p>\n<p><!-- Auto Generated --><\/p>\n<p>See more here: <\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/leaders\/2024\/06\/13\/a-second-trump-term-from-unthinkable-to-probable\" title=\"A second Trump term: from unthinkable to probable - The Economist\">A second Trump term: from unthinkable to probable - The Economist<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> WHEN DONALD TRUMP left office in January 2021 his political career seemed over.  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/donald-trump\/a-second-trump-term-from-unthinkable-to-probable-the-economist\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[257675],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1125981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donald-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1125981"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1125981"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1125981\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1125981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1125981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/prometheism-transhumanism-posthumanism\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1125981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}