Youve probably heard about the success of Wong teaser pieces this NFL season. Certain teasers (through key numbers of 3 and 7) hit at a greater rate than what it costs to buy the points youre getting, and theyve been red-hot to start the year (Seahawks +8.5 against the Rams not withstanding).<\/p>\n
But dont go rushing to bet these teasers without understanding if youre getting a fair price.<\/p>\n
Thats because the price your sportsbook offers on two-team, 6-point teasers will impact whether or not the teaser is still mathematically advantageous. Ideally you want -110 on a two-team, 6-point teaser, but thats not available in the United States from the 20 books weve looked at. And -130 on these teasers evaporates the edge immediately.<\/p>\n
So which U.S. sportsbooks are giving the best prices on teasers? Lets dive in.<\/p>\n
Tests run at 20 sportsbooks in New Jersey. If youve seen different prices or been limited on certain teaser types, please let us know.<\/p>\n
You can read Stuckeys full teaser guide for more info, but heres how the basic math looks.<\/p>\n
NFL underdogs between +1.5 and +2.5 teased six points have covered 75.3% of the time. Favorites between -7.5 and -8.5 have covered about 76% of the time. They cover at a high rate because many NFL games end in these margins, given how points are scored in football.<\/p>\n
To break even on a two-team, 6-point teaser at -110, you only need to win 72.4% of the time. Thats an advantage, historically speaking, based on the cover rate I just detailed.<\/p>\n
But to break even on a 6-point, two-team teaser at -130, you need to win 75.2% of the time. Based on those same cover rates, your entire advantage is gone at -130.<\/p>\n
Road underdogs have been the best teaser pieces over the last decade.<\/p>\n
There are three primary ways a sportsbook offers NFL teasers:<\/p>\n
*Books that use dynamic pricing or alternate spread parlays, so listed price is based on teasing two teams from +2 to +8.<\/p>\n
PlayUp, which is only available in Colorado and New Jersey, has fixed teaser pricing at -115. Its the best in the market we can find.<\/p>\n
Unibet, Barstool, BetRivers, etc., who all use odds provider Kambi, came in second at around -117 on two teaser pieces going from +2 to +8. Their Wong teasers are priced anywhere from -117 to -123, depending on the exact numbers youre teasing through.<\/p>\n
These books have dynamic pricing, so you can actually get better prices on bad teasers, making them less bad.<\/p>\n
Taking the Titans from -4.5 to +1.5 and the Dolphins from +10 to +16 (not something we recommend) pays out +116.<\/p>\n
FanDuel should be avoided because of its fixed price at -134. DraftKings is available in all the same states, and has a fixed price of -120.<\/p>\n
BetMGM and PointsBet should also be avoided in most cases, because youre parlaying alternate spreads. And if you want to take a team from +1.5 to +7.5, those alternate spreads are going to be costly.<\/p>\n
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Which Sportsbooks Have the Best NFL Teaser Prices? - The Action Network<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Youve probably heard about the success of Wong teaser pieces this NFL season. Certain teasers (through key numbers of 3 and 7) hit at a greater rate than what it costs to buy the points youre getting, and theyve been red-hot to start the year (Seahawks +8.5 against the Rams not withstanding). But dont go rushing to bet these teasers without understanding if youre getting a fair price. Continue reading