{"id":41246,"date":"2011-11-05T19:24:38","date_gmt":"2011-11-05T19:24:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/us-recession-has-begun\/"},"modified":"2011-11-05T19:24:38","modified_gmt":"2011-11-05T19:24:38","slug":"us-recession-has-begun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/futurist\/us-recession-has-begun.php","title":{"rendered":"US Recession Has Begun"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>On <a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2009\/10\/the-next-two-recessions.html\" target=\"_self\">October 23, 2009, I predicted that the US would have two further recessions, one starting in 2011 and another in 2017 or thereabouts<\/a>. &#160;It appears that the first prediction has come true, as the US is in the process of entering a recession as of now in late 2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The reasons I gave in the original article where based on the negative effect of tax increases. &#160;While the tax increases in question have been pushed out to 2013, other causes, mainly a recession in Europe and an industrial slowdown in China, have combined to push the US into a 2011 recession nonetheless. &#160;This recession, however, may be relatively shallow and brief, as many sectors that caused the 2008-09 recession, namely financials and construction, are still 60-75% below their 2007 levels and simply do not have enough room to fall by the same degree. &#160;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>However, I would also like to change a statement in the prior article. &#160;I had stated that housing cannot fully correct until the Fed Funds rate is at least 3%. &#160;It is now apparent that the Fed Funds rate may not go above 3% for a very long time, on account of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2010\/07\/the-technosponge.html\" target=\"_self\">Technosponge<\/a>, so instead I would modify the concept to say that <strong>housing cannot bottom until the median Baby Boomer is 70 years old, which will be in 2025<\/strong>. &#160;That is correct - US housing prices will not bottom until 2025. &#160;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2006\/04\/the_housing_bub.html\" target=\"_self\">Longtime readers may recall that I called the Housing Bubble way back in April of 2006 and predicted a 20-year slump<\/a>, back when it was considered blasphemy to utter such a thing. &#160;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Furthermore, I would like to reiterate that even when this recession ends, the economic recovery will be weak, just like it was after the 2008-09 recession, and a large part of this is due to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/the-misandry-bubble\/\" target=\"_self\">The Misandry Bubble<\/a>. &#160;There will not be a strong economic recovery without a direct and ferocious confrontation of the misandry that currently pervades the US government, and hence socioeconomic medium. &#160;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Lastly, while the next recession is estimated for 2017, I can no longer guarantee that the entire period after the current recession will be an expansionary period all the way until 2017. &#160;There may yet be another recession between this on and the 2017 recession as well. &#160;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Related :<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2009\/10\/the-next-two-recessions.html\" target=\"_self\">The Next Two US Recessions<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2006\/04\/the_housing_bub.html\" target=\"_self\">The Housing Bubble - 20-Year Gains May Never be Repeated<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2008\/09\/a-future-timeline-for-economics.html\" target=\"_self\">A Future Timeline for Economics<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.singularity2050.com\/2009\/06\/the-united-states-of-america-has-traditionally-been-the-most-economically-innovative-nation-on-earth-and-the-best-place-for.html\" target=\"_self\">Eight Ways to Supercharge the US Economy<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On October 23, 2009, I predicted that the US would have two further recessions, one starting in 2011 and another in 2017 or thereabouts. &#160;It appears that the first prediction has come true, as the US is in the process &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/futurist\/us-recession-has-begun.php\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"limit_modified_date":"","last_modified_date":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-futurist"],"modified_by":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41246"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41246"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41246\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41246"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41246"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41246"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}