{"id":39245,"date":"2011-09-10T17:42:21","date_gmt":"2011-09-10T17:42:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/1-in-3200-are-you-feeling-lucky\/"},"modified":"2011-09-10T17:42:21","modified_gmt":"2011-09-10T17:42:21","slug":"1-in-3200-are-you-feeling-lucky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/astronomy\/1-in-3200-are-you-feeling-lucky.php","title":{"rendered":"1 in 3200, Are you Feeling Lucky?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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UARS Satellite. Credit: NASA<\/p><\/div>

 <\/p>

Around and around it goes and where it lands nobody knows.  I am talking about NASA’s U<\/strong>pper A<\/strong>tmosphere R<\/strong>esearch S<\/strong>atellite (UARS).<\/a>  The satellite was put into orbit by the space shuttle Discovery in 1991 and in this case the satellite is in a decaying orbit.<\/p>

Decaying orbit, sounds bad and well, it is kind of, it means every time the object, goes around the Earth it gets a little closer.  Normally we would expect things like this to burn up in the atmosphere, but UARS weighs in at six-tons and not all of it will burn up. There are according to a UARS Casualty Risk Assessment done in 2002 a total of 26 potentially hazardous objects expected to survive with a total mass of 532 kg.<\/p>

The estimated human casualty risk?  1 in 3200.  Please understand this doesn’t mean you in particular, merely the chance for someone somewhere.  \";-)\" <\/p>

Where is it expected to come in?  Somewhere between 57 degrees North and South latitude and right now it can’t be pinned down any closer so it’s anybodies guess.  A lot of times there is fuel aboard to steer the satellite into a safe deorbit, but in this case the fuel ran out in 2005.  Now there is a LOT of land and water that could be impacted with no consequence, but hey, 1 in 3200.<\/p>

So, stay tuned as they used to say.  Impact time is expected in late September to early October.  The satellite is being monitored and we should have a pretty good idea where and when re-entry will be hopefully before it happens.<\/p>

Now about the riddle.  Beats the stuffing out of me.  I’ve not heard a peep from Marian and I just hope all is well.  I wasn’t ready to put one together so well there you go.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

UARS Satellite. Credit: NASA Around and around it goes and where it lands nobody knows.  I am talking about NASA’s Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS).  The satellite was put into orbit by the space shuttle Discovery in 1991 and in this … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"limit_modified_date":"","last_modified_date":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-astronomy"],"modified_by":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39245"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39245\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}