{"id":319491,"date":"2019-04-11T15:06:23","date_gmt":"2019-04-11T19:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/uncategorized\/some-people-are-exceptionally-good-at-predicting-the-future.php"},"modified":"2019-04-11T15:06:23","modified_gmt":"2019-04-11T19:06:23","slug":"some-people-are-exceptionally-good-at-predicting-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/futurism\/some-people-are-exceptionally-good-at-predicting-the-future.php","title":{"rendered":"Some People Are Exceptionally Good at Predicting the Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p><div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"160\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-assets.futurism.com\/2019\/04\/super-forecaster-predicting-future-300x160.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"Some people are adept at forecasting, predicting the likelihood of future events, and a new contest aims to suss them out.\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/div><h2>Super-Forecasters<\/h2><p><span>Some people have a knack for accurately predicting the likelihood of future events. Y<\/span><span>ou might even be one of these&nbsp;&ldquo;super-forecasters&rdquo; and not know it&nbsp;&mdash; but now there&rsquo;s an easy way to find out.<\/span><\/p><p><span><em>BBC Future<\/em> has teamed up with&nbsp;UK-based charity Nesta and&nbsp;forecasting services organization&nbsp;Good Judgement on the &ldquo;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/story\/20190410-could-you-be-a-super-forecaster\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">You Predict the Future<\/a>&rdquo; challenge. The purpose is to study how individuals and teams predict the likelihood of certain events, ranging from the technological to the geopolitical.<\/span><\/p><h2>All Winners<\/h2><p>Anyone interested in testing their own forecasting skills can sign up for the challenge&nbsp;to answer&nbsp;a series of multiple-choice questions and assign a percentage to how likely each answer is to come true.<\/p><p>&ldquo;When you&rsquo;re part of the challenge, you&rsquo;ll get feedback on how accurate your forecasts are,&rdquo;&nbsp;Kathy Peach, who leads Nesta&rsquo;s Centre for Collective Intelligence Design, told <em>BBC Future<\/em>. &ldquo;You&rsquo;ll be able to see how well you do compared to other forecasters. And there&rsquo;s a leader board, which shows who the best performing forecasters are.&rdquo;<\/p><h2>Collective Intelligence<\/h2><p>You&rsquo;ll also be helping advance research on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nesta.org.uk\/project\/centre-collective-intelligence-design\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">collective intelligence<\/a>, which focuses on the intellectual abilities of <a href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/forecasting-the-future-can-the-hive-mind-let-us-predict-the-future\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">groups of people<\/a> acting as one.<\/p><p>Additionally, as&nbsp;Peach told <em>BBC Future<\/em>, &ldquo;New research shows that forecasting increases open-mindedness, the ability to consider alternative scenarios, and reduces political polarisation,&rdquo;&nbsp; &mdash; meaning even if you don&rsquo;t find out you&rsquo;re a&nbsp;<span>&ldquo;super-forecaster,&rdquo;&nbsp;<\/span>you might just end up a better person after making your predictions.<\/p><p><strong>READ MORE:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/story\/20190410-could-you-be-a-super-forecaster\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Could you be a super-forecaster?<\/a> [<em>BBC Future<\/em>]<\/p><p><strong>More on forecasting: <\/strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/forecasting-the-future-can-the-hive-mind-let-us-predict-the-future\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forecasting the Future: Can the Hive Mind Let Us Predict the Future?<\/a><\/em><\/p><p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/super-forecaster-predicting-future\/\">Some People Are Exceptionally Good at Predicting the Future<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\">Futurism<\/a>.<\/p><p>See original here:<br><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/super-forecaster-predicting-future\/\" title=\"Some People Are Exceptionally Good at Predicting the Future\">Some People Are Exceptionally Good at Predicting the Future<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Super-Forecasters Some people have a knack for accurately predicting the likelihood of future events.  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/futurism\/some-people-are-exceptionally-good-at-predicting-the-future.php\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"limit_modified_date":"","last_modified_date":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-319491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-futurism"],"modified_by":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319491"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=319491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319491\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=319491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=319491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=319491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}