{"id":30344,"date":"2010-11-07T09:11:13","date_gmt":"2010-11-07T09:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/forecasting-filters\/"},"modified":"2010-11-07T09:11:13","modified_gmt":"2010-11-07T09:11:13","slug":"forecasting-filters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/transhuman\/forecasting-filters.php","title":{"rendered":"Forecasting filters"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For you Fermi filter fanatics, be sure to check out Katja Grace's recent honour's thesis, \"<a href=\"http:\/\/meteuphoric.wordpress.com\/2010\/11\/02\/anthropic-principles-agree-on-bigger-future-filters\/\">Anthropic principles agree on bigger future filters<\/a>\":<i><\/i><br><i><\/i><\/p><blockquote><p>My main point was that two popular anthropic reasoning principles, the Self Indication Assumption (SIA) and the Self Sampling Assumption (SSA), as well as Full Non-indexical Conditioning (FNC)  basically agree that future filter steps will be larger than we otherwise think, including the many future filter steps that are existential risks.<\/p><\/blockquote><p>And be sure to check out the insights from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.overcomingbias.com\/2010\/11\/beware-future-filters.html\">Robin Hanson<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acceleratingfuture.com\/michael\/blog\/2010\/11\/katja-grace-honors-thesis-now-available\/\">Michael Anissimov<\/a>.<\/p><div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_6753820-4542655782379479996?l=www.sentientdevelopments.com\" alt=\"\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/div><p><a href=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~a\/gjB46N-15MyOiXGpw5mmlWBbCPI\/0\/da\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_di\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a><br><a href=\"http:\/\/feedads.g.doubleclick.net\/~a\/gjB46N-15MyOiXGpw5mmlWBbCPI\/1\/da\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_di\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a><\/p><div><a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:I9og5sOYxJI\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?d=I9og5sOYxJI\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:qj6IDK7rITs\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?d=qj6IDK7rITs\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:yIl2AUoC8zA\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?d=yIl2AUoC8zA\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:V_sGLiPBpWU\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?i=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:V_sGLiPBpWU\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:cGdyc7Q-1BI\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?d=cGdyc7Q-1BI\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:F7zBnMyn0Lo\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?i=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/SentientDevelopments?a=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:gIN9vFwOqvQ\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_SentientDevelopments?i=mGkx93uiQ1o:iq202Inem6U:gIN9vFwOqvQ\" border=\"0\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/a><\/div><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-o-matic\/cache\/75b4a_mGkx93uiQ1o\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\" style=\"padding-left:10px; padding-right: 10px;\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For you Fermi filter fanatics, be sure to check out Katja Grace's recent honour's thesis, \"Anthropic principles agree on bigger future filters\":My main point was that two popular anthropic reasoning principles, the Self Indication Assumption (SIA) and the Self Sampling &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/transhuman\/forecasting-filters.php\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"limit_modified_date":"","last_modified_date":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-transhuman"],"modified_by":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30344"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30344"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30344\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30344"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30344"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30344"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}