Glenn Harlan Reynolds, Opinion columnist Published 8:00 a.m. ET Aug. 7, 2017 | Updated 3:55 p.m. ET Aug. 7, 2017<\/p>\n
A new report from Paysa suggests automation jobs will put 10,000 people to work, and big companies will spend $650 million on annual salaries to make it happen. Sean Dowling (@seandowlingtv) has more. Buzz60 <\/p>\n
Computer code(Photo: Joe Raedle, Getty Images) <\/p>\n
Heres the dirty little secret about automation: its easier to build a robot to replace a junior attorney than to replace a journeyman electrician. <\/p>\n
Thats Mark Mills, notingthat its white-collar jobs that may be the next casualties of automation.Instead of creative destruction coming to factories and farms, its sweeping through city centers and taking white-collar jobs. White-collar workers used to think they were safe from automation while lesser breeds suffered unemployment. But now theyre on the front lines. <\/p>\n
Thats certainly the case with lawyers, who are being replaced by software, by paraprofessionals, and sometimes even by outsourcing to third world nations. And thats bad news since lawyers income and employment prospects have been largelystagnant (or worse) for decades.But, as with automation in other areas, it may be good news for the consumers of legal services, even as it makes things worse for the producers. <\/p>\n
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Thats the central thesis ofRebooting Justice: More Technology, Fewer Lawyers, and the Future of Law,a book by my University of Tennessee colleague Benjamin Barton, together with the University of Pennsylvanias Stephanos Bibas. Their thesis: The very things that are making life worse for lawyers and law firms may pay off for lower- and middle-income Americans by finally making legal services affordable. <\/p>\n
Both authors are distinguished professors with extensive experience in legal practice, and in particular in serving lower-income Americans. And if youre a lower-income American (and in this context, lower-income doesnt mean all that low) paying a lawyer to represent you in a criminal or civil matter, or even to fight a parking ticket or prepare a will, is a major and perhaps unaffordable burden. <\/p>\n
Rebooting Justice tells the story of wildly overburdened public defenders and court-appointed attorneys who represent poor defendants in criminal cases (and even in death penalty cases), and who often do a substandard job of it. Meanwhile, in civil court, mothers and fathers fighting child custody orders, laid-off workers claiming unemployment, sick people claiming disability and even couples just wanting a low-cost divorce find getting legal representation prohibitively expensive. <\/p>\n
In many states, were told, 75% or more of family law disputes involve at least one party trying to proceed pro se that is, without a lawyer. Unsurprisingly, these people usually do badly. <\/p>\n
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The authors quote Derek Bok, who said that in America, there is far too much law for those who can afford it, and far too little for those who cannot. But the good news is that law may be about to become a lot more affordable. <\/p>\n
One example: A lawyerbot called Do Not Payhelps people contest parking tickets. In London and New York, it helped people overturn 160,000 ticketsin its first 21 months. Its creator, 19-year-old London-born Stanford student Joshua Browder observed: I think the people getting parking tickets are the most vulnerable in society. These people arent looking to break the law. I think theyre being exploited as a revenue source by the local government. <\/p>\n
Theres not much doubt about that. Local governments pretend its about safety, but use traffic fines for revenue. Those fines fall hardest onpoor people,for whom a $150 fine is a financial disaster and for whom an appearance in court is frightening and awkward. Often, a few citations, with interest and penalties accruing, can be the beginning of a downward spiral leading to bankruptcy or jail. <\/p>\n
Browder is working on other applications, and with good reason: Theres a need.And as Barton and Bibas point out, lawyer-substitutes like software (or paralegals allowed to practice on their own) dont have to be better than the best lawyers. They only have to be better than what people who cant afford the best lawyers can get. <\/p>\n
This has the potential for social revolution in many ways. Its bad for the lawyers who lose work to bots. Its bad for cities who rely on revenue extorted from motorists and other petty offenders to balance the books. (DoNotPays 160,000 overturned tickets represented over $4 million in revenue). And its bad for any part of the legal system that forces compliance from ordinary people who just dont want the hassle of going to court. <\/p>\n
But its good for people who, up to now, havent had much leverage. If were lucky, well wind up, as Barton and Bibas suggest, with fewer lawyers, more justice. For people like me, who sell law degrees for a living, that may be bad news.For society as a whole, though, it may turn out pretty well. <\/p>\n
Glenn Harlan Reynolds, a University of Tennessee law professor and the author ofThe New School: How the Information Age Will Save American Education from Itself, is a member of USA TODAY's Board of Contributors. <\/p>\n
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