{"id":167971,"date":"2023-12-10T02:42:03","date_gmt":"2023-12-10T07:42:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.immortalitymedicine.tv\/ibm-quantum-computing-updates-system-two-and-heron-the-verge\/"},"modified":"2024-08-18T11:32:47","modified_gmt":"2024-08-18T15:32:47","slug":"ibm-quantum-computing-updates-system-two-and-heron-the-verge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/quantum-computing\/ibm-quantum-computing-updates-system-two-and-heron-the-verge.php","title":{"rendered":"IBM quantum computing updates: System Two and Heron &#8211; The Verge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>      Today, Im talking with Jerry Chow. Hes the director of      quantum systems at IBM, meaning hes trying to build the      future one qubit at a time.    <\/p>\n<p>      IBM made      some announcements this week about its       plans for the next 10 years of quantum computing: there      are new chips, new computers, and new APIs. Youll hear us      get into more of the details as we go, but the important      thing to know upfront is that quantum computers could have      theoretically incredible amounts of processing power and      could entirely revolutionize the way we think of computers      if, that is, someone can build one thats actually      useful.    <\/p>\n<p>      Heres Jerry, explaining the basics of what a quantum      computer is:    <\/p>\n<p>        A quantum computer is basically a fundamentally different        way of computing. It relies on the laws of quantum        mechanics, but it just changes how information is handled.        So instead of using bits, we have quantum bits or qubits.      <\/p>\n<p>      A regular computer  the quantum folks call them classical      computers  like an iPhone or a laptop or even a fancy      Nvidia GPU works by encoding data in bits. Bits basically      have two states, which we call zero and one. Theyre on or      theyre off.    <\/p>\n<p>      But the laws of quantum mechanics that Jerry just mentioned      mean that qubits behave very, very differently. They      can be zero or one, but they might also be a whole      lot of things in between.    <\/p>\n<p>        You still have two states: a zero and a one. But they can        also be in superpositions of zero and one, which means that        theres a probability that when you measure it, it will be        zero or one with particular probability. In terms of how we        physically build these, theyre not switches anymore,        theyre not transistors, but theyre actually elements that        have quantum mechanical behavior.      <\/p>\n<p>      One of my favorite things about all this is that in order to      make these new quantum computers work, you have to cool them      to within fractions of a degree of absolute zero, which means      a lot of companies have had to work very hard on cryogenic      cooling systems just so other people could work on quantum      chips. Jerry calls early quantum computers science      projects, but his goal is to engineer actual products people      can use.    <\/p>\n<p>      Youll hear Jerry talk about making a useful quantum computer      in terms of utility, which is when quantum computers start      to push against the limits of what regular computers can      simulate. IBM has been chasing after utility for a while now.      It first made quantum computers available on the cloud in      2016, its shipped System One quantum computers to partners      around the world, and now, this week, its announcing System      Two along with a roadmap for the future. Its      Decoder, so I asked Jerry exactly how he and his      team sit down and build a roadmap for the next 10 years of      applied research in a field that requires major breakthroughs      at every level of the product. Oh, and we talked about      Ant-Man.    <\/p>\n<p>      Its a fun one  very few people sit at the bleeding edge all      day like Jerry.    <\/p>\n<p>      Okay. Jerry Chow, director of quantum systems at IBM. Here we      go.    <\/p>\n<p>      This transcript has been lightly edited for length and      clarity.    <\/p>\n<p>      Jerry Chow, you are an IBM fellow and director of      quantum systems. Welcome to Decoder.    <\/p>\n<p>      Im really excited to talk to you. Theres quite a      lot to talk about  quantum computing in general, where it      is. But youve got some news to announce today, so I want to      make sure we talk about the news right off the bat. What is      going on in IBM Quantum?    <\/p>\n<p>          Listen to Decoder, a show hosted by The          Verges Nilay Patel about big ideas  and other          problems.Subscribehere!        <\/p>\n<p>      Yeah, so we have our annual Quantum Summit      coming up, where we basically invite our network of members      and users to come, and we talk about some of the really      exciting news. What were announcing this year is actually we      have a really exciting upgraded quantum processor that were      talking about. Its called the IBM Quantum Heron. It has 133      qubits. Its the highest performance processor that weve      ever built, and its going to be available for users to      access via our cloud services.    <\/p>\n<p>      Were also launching IBM Quantum System Two and introducing      this as a new architecture for scaling our quantum computers      into the future. Were also talking about a 10-year roadmap      looking ahead. We, at IBM Quantum, like to sort of call our      shots, tell everyone what were doing because that keeps us      honest, keeps everyone in the industry on the same benchmark      of seeing what progress is. And were expanding that roadmap,      which we actually first introduced a couple of years ago and      have hit all our milestones thus far. But we are extending it      out to 2033, pushing forward into this next realm where      we really want to drive toward pushing quantum      computing at scale.    <\/p>\n<p>      So youve got a new processor, youve got a new      computing architecture in System Two, youve got a longer      roadmap. Put that in context for me: weve been hearing about      quantum computing for quite a long time. I have stared at a      number of quantum computers and been told, This is the      coldest piece of the universe that has ever existed. Its      been very entertaining, at the very least. Were only now at      the point where were actually solving real problems with      quantum computers.    <\/p>\n<p>      Were not even at the point of solving real problems.    <\/p>\n<p>      Not yet. But we are, really excitingly, just this past year,      at the point where were calling this utility-scale quantum      computing. Were using 100-plus qubits. We used a processor      earlier in the year called Eagle, where we were able to look      at a particular problem that you couldnt really solve with      brute-force methods using a classical computer, but also it      challenged the best classical approximation methods that are      used on high-performance computing. So whats interesting      there is that now the quantum computer becomes like the      benchmark. You almost need it to verify whether your      approximate classical methods are working properly. And that      just happens when you go over 100 qubits.    <\/p>\n<p>      At 100 qubits, things all change so that you just cant use,      say, GPUs or any kind of classical computers to simulate      whats going on accurately. This is why were in this phase      where we call it utility scale because theres going to be      this back and forth between using a quantum as a tool      compared with what you can still potentially do in classical.      But then theres a long road there that were going to try to      drive value using the quantum to get toward quantum manage.    <\/p>\n<p>      I think the word utility there threw me off. This is      the branch point where the problems you solve with a quantum      computer start to become meaningfully different than the      problems you could solve with a regular computer.    <\/p>\n<p>      Thats right. We see this really as an inflection point.      There are a lot of industries that use high-performance      computation already, and they are looking at very, very hard      problems that use the Oak Ridge supercomputers and whatnot.      And now quantum becomes an additional tool that opens up a      new lens for them to look at a different area of compute      space that they werent able to look at before.    <\/p>\n<p>      So IBM has a huge program in quantum. The other big      companies do, too  Microsoft, Google, what have you, theyre      all investing in this space. Does this feel like a classical      capitalist competition, Were all racing forward to get the      first product to market? Is it a bunch of researchers who      know that theres probably a pot of gold at the end of this      rainbow, but were nowhere close to it yet, so were all kind      of friendly? Whats the vibe?    <\/p>\n<p>      Id say that its a very exciting time to be in this field.      How often do you get to say youre building from the ground      floor of a completely new computational architecture?      Something that is just fundamentally different from      traditional classical computing. And so yeah, Id say that      theres certainly a lot of groundswell, theres a lot of      buzz. Sometimes a little too much buzz, maybe. But also I      think from the perspective of competition, it helps drive the      industry forward.    <\/p>\n<p>      We, at IBM, have been at the forefront of computation for      decades. And so its in our blood. The ideas of roadmaps and      pushing the next big development, the next big innovations in      computation, have always been something that is just native      to IBM, and quantum is no different. Weve been in the game      with quantum since the early       theoretical foundings for probably 30 years, 30-plus      years. But now were really starting to bear a lot of that      fruit in terms of building the architectures, building the      systems, putting out the hardware, developing the framework      for how to make it usable and accessible.    <\/p>\n<p>      Let me give you just a much dumber comparison.      We had the      CEO of AWS on the show, Adam Selipsky.      AWS is furiously competitive with Microsoft Azure and Google      Cloud. They are trying to take market share from each other,      and they do a lot of innovative things to make better      products, but the end goal of that is taking one customer      away from Google. Youre not there yet, right? Theres not      market share to be moved around yet?    <\/p>\n<p>      Certainly not at that scale.    <\/p>\n<p>      But are there quantum customers that you compete      for?    <\/p>\n<p>      Theres certainly a growing quantum community.    <\/p>\n<p>      [Laughs] Its not a customer; there are      people who are interested.    <\/p>\n<p>        At 100 qubits, things all change      <\/p>\n<p>      There are people that are interested across the board, from      developers, to students, to Fortune 500 companies. We have a      lot of interest. So just as an example, we       first put systems on the cloud in 2016. We put a very      simple five-qubit computer, five-qubit quantum computer, on      the cloud. But it reflected a real fundamental shift in how      quantum could be approached. Before, you had to be sort of a      physicist. You had to be in a laboratory turning knobs.      Youre taking data, youre running physicist code; youre not      programming a computer.    <\/p>\n<p>      Wow. [Laughs] Shout out to      physicists.    <\/p>\n<p>      Well, Im a physicist, and you dont want to see my code.      [Laughs] But the whole point is that we developed a      whole framework around it to actually deploy it and to make      it programmable. And think about the early days of computers      and all the infrastructure you needed to build in terms of      the right assembly language and compilers and the application      layers all above that. Weve been building that for the last      seven years since that first launched. And in that time,      weve had over 500,000 users of our platform and of our      services.    <\/p>\n<p>      Im always curious how things are structured and how      decisions are made. Thats really what we talk about on the      show. And theres a forcing function that comes when its a      business, and theres a growth path. Quantum seems very much      like one day it will be a huge business because it will solve      problems that regular computers cant. But right now, its on      the very early part of the curve where youre investing a lot      into R&D, on an aggressive roadmap, but youre nowhere      close to the business yet.    <\/p>\n<p>      I would say that were knocking on the door of business value      and looking for that business value, because especially when      were in this realm where we know that it can be used as a      tool pitted against the best classical computers, theres      something there to be explored. A lot of times, even with      traditional computers, there are very few proven algorithms      that are where we drive all the value. A lot of the value      that gets driven is done through heuristics, through just      trial and error, through having the tool and using it on a      particular problem. Thats why we see this fundamental      game-changer of this inflection point going toward utility      scale systems of over 100 qubits as now this is the tool that      we want users to actually go and find business advantage,      find the problems that map appropriately onto these systems      for exploration.    <\/p>\n<p>      So put that in the context of IBM. IBMs a huge      company, its over 100 years old, it does a lot of things.      This is probably the most cutting-edge thing IBM is doing, I      imagine. Im guessing youre not going to disagree with me.      But it feels like the most cutting-edge thing that most of      the Big Tech companies are doing.    <\/p>\n<p>      How is that structured inside of IBM? How does that      work?    <\/p>\n<p>      So were IBM Quantum within IBM Research. IBM Research has      always been the organic growth engine for all of IBM. Its      where a lot of the innovative ideas come in, but overall, a      particular strategy within IBM and IBM Research is that were      not just doing research and then were going to do      development and then its going to go on this very linearized      product journey. Its all integrated together as we are      moving forward. And so therefore, we have the opportunity      within IBM Quantum that were developing products, were      putting it on the cloud, were integrating with IBM Cloud.      Were actually pushing these things forward to build that      user base, build that groundswell, before all the various      different technology elements are finished. Thats sort of      this agile methodology of building this from the ground up,      but also getting it out early and often to drive excitement      and to really build up the other parts of the ecosystem.    <\/p>\n<p>      So how is IBM Quantum structured? How many people is      it? How is it organized?    <\/p>\n<p>      So we dont speak explicit numbers, but we have several      hundred people. And then we have parts of the team which are      focused on the actual hardware elements, all the way down to      the actual quantum processor and the system around it in      terms of making those processors function by cooling it down      in the cryogenic system, talking to it with control      electronics, talking to it with classical computing. So it      all needs to tie together.    <\/p>\n<p>      Then you have software development teams. We also have a      cloud and services team that helps to deliver our offerings      as a service. And then we have applications teams looking at      the next algorithms, the next novel ways of making use of our      quantum services. We also have teams that are more      outward-looking for business development  trying to drive      adoption, working with various clients to engage in the      problems of their interests. We also have a part of our team      which runs an offering called the Quantum Accelerator. Its      like a consulting arm, working with the clients to get      quantum-ready, start understanding how their problems can be      impacted by quantum computing and start using our systems.    <\/p>\n<p>      Is that all flat? Every one of those teams reports to      you, or is there structure in between?    <\/p>\n<p>      No, so all those different ones report to our vice president      of quantum computing, which is Jay Gambetta. I take care of      the systems part. Basically, the wrapping of the processor      and how it runs, executing problems for the users, thats the      piece that I own.    <\/p>\n<p>      Theres a tension there. It sounds like IBM is      designed to attack this tension head-on, which is: Were      doing a bunch of pure research in cryogenics to make sure      that quantum computing can run because it has to be really      cold to run. Then theres a business development team thats      just off and running, doing sales stuff, and at some point      theyre going to come back and say, We sold this thing. And      the cryogenics team is going to say, Not yet. Every      business has a problem like that. When youre in pure      research mode, the not yet is a real problem.    <\/p>\n<p>      How often do you run into that?    <\/p>\n<p>      We have a very good strategy across the team. We know our      core services and what the core product we have is. And also      we have a roadmap. The concept of the roadmap is both great      for the R&D side but also great for the client      perspective, business development angle view of seeing whats      coming next. From the internal side, we know weve got to      continue to drive toward this, and these are our deliverables      and these are the new innovations that we need to do. In      fact, in our new roadmap that were releasing, we have that      separated. Both a development roadmap, which is more product      focused and more like what the end users going to get and      clients going to get. And we have an innovation roadmap to      show those things which were still going to need to turn to      crank and figure out what feeds in.    <\/p>\n<p>      I often say the roadmap is our mantra, and it really is our      calling card both internally and externally. Not many people      really show a lot of detail in their roadmap, but it serves      as a guiding tool for us all.    <\/p>\n<p>      I was looking at       that roadmap, and it is very      aggressive. Were at Heron, there are many birds to come from      what I understand. And the goal is that a truly functional      quantum computer needs thousands or millions of qubits,      right?    <\/p>\n<p>      We have a transition toward what we are calling quantum at      scale, which I think what youre referring to is when you      will get to the point where you can run quantum error      correction, correct for all the errors that are underlying      within these qubits, which are noisy. People throw around      that number  millions of qubits  in a way that almost      drives fear into the hearts of people. One actually really      exciting thing that weve done this past year is weve      developed a set of novel error correction codes that brings      down that resource count a lot.    <\/p>\n<p>      So actually, youll need potentially hundreds of thousands of      qubits, 100,000 qubits or so, to build a fault-tolerant      quantum error-correction-based quantum computer of a      particular size to do some of those problems that were      talking about at scale. And thats part of the roadmap, too.      So thats what were looking at further to the Blue Jay      system in 2033. So theres certainly a number of birds to get      there, but we have concrete ideas for the technological      hurdles to overcome to get there.    <\/p>\n<p>      Thats the goal. Youre going to get to some      massively larger scale than you are today. Orders of      magnitude. Today the chip has 133 qubits, you need to get to      thousands. Some people, terrifyingly, are saying      millions.    <\/p>\n<p>      Part of your strategy is linking the chips together      into these more modular systems and then putting control      circuitry around them. Im a person who came up in what you      might call the classical computing environment, thats very      familiar. Thats a very familiar strategy; were just going      to do more cores. Thats what that looks like to me. Lots of      companies have run up against a lot of problems here. In that      part of the world, theres just Moores law, and we sit      around talking about it all day long. And Nvidia and maybe      TSMC have gotten over it this time, and Intel has struggled      to get the next process node and increase the transistor      density. Is there an equivalent to Moores law in quantum      that you were thinking about?    <\/p>\n<p>      Our roadmap is showing that type of progression.    <\/p>\n<p>      I look at that roadmap, and you are definitely      assuming a number of breakthroughs along the way  in a way      that Intel just assumed it for years and years and they      achieved it, and then kind of hit the end of the      road.    <\/p>\n<p>      Even where we are today with Heron, and actually      complementary to Heron this year, we also already built a      1,000-qubit processor, Condor. Its explicit goal was to push      the limits of how many qubits could we put on a single chip,      push the limits of how much architecture could we put in an      entire system. How much could we actually cool down in the      dilution refrigerators that we know today, the cryogenic      refrigerators that we have today? Push the boundaries of      everything to understand where things break. And if you look      at the early part of our roadmap, the birds are there with      various technological hurdles that weve already overcome to      get toward this thousand-qubit level. And now those next      birds that you see in the rest of the innovation roadmap are      different types of couplers, different types of technologies,      that are those technological hurdles, like in semiconductors,      that allow us to bridge the gap.    <\/p>\n<p>      Are they the same? Is it the same kind of, We need      to double transistor density, or is it a different set of      challenges?    <\/p>\n<p>        Id say, the decades of experience matter      <\/p>\n<p>      Theyre different, because with this sort of modular      approach, theres some that are like, how many can we place      into a single chip? How many can we place into a single      package? How many can we package together within the system?      So they all require slightly different technological      innovations within the whole value chain. But we dont see      them as not doable; we see them certainly as things that we      will handle over the next few years. Were already starting      to test linking between two packages via a cryogenic cable.      This is toward our Flamingo demonstration, which were      planning for next year.    <\/p>\n<p>      Do you get to leverage any of the things that are      happening on the process side with classical      computers?    <\/p>\n<p>      Like       TSMC hits three nanometers and      you get to pull that forward, or is that different?    <\/p>\n<p>      Not so explicitly to the newest stuff thats happening today      in semiconductors. But IBM has been in the semiconductors      game for many, many decades. And a lot of the work that weve      achieved with even achieving a 100 qubits with Eagle a couple      of years ago was because we had that deep-rooted      semiconductor background. So just to give you an example, at      100 qubits, the challenge is how do you actually wire to 100      qubits in a chip? The standard thing you do in semiconductors      is you go to more layers, but its not so easy to do that      just in these superconducting quantum circuits because they      might mess up the qubits. It might cause them to decohere.    <\/p>\n<p>      But because of our know-how with packaging, we found the      right materials, we found the right way of using our      fabrication techniques to implement that type of multilayer      wiring and still talk to these 100 qubits. We evolved that      further this past year to actually get to 1,000. And so that      type of semiconductor know-how is just ingrained and      something that is, Id say, the decades of experience matter.    <\/p>\n<p>      So youre going to build the next-generation quantum      computing chip, Heron. Its got 133 qubits. How is that chip      manufactured?    <\/p>\n<p>      Okay. Well, to build the next-generation quantum computing      chip, we rely on advanced packaging techniques that involve      multiple layers of superconducting metal to package and to      wire up various superconducting qubits. With Heron, were      also using a novel tunable coupler architecture, which allows      us to have world-record performing two-qubit gate qualities.      And all this is done in a standard fabrication facility that      we have at IBM and package up this chip, and we have to cool      it down into a cryogenic environment.    <\/p>\n<p>      So silicon goes in one side of the building, Heron      comes out the other?    <\/p>\n<p>      I mean, certainly more steps than that. [Laughs] And      theres this know-how of how to do it properly to have      high-performing qubits, which weve just built up.    <\/p>\n<p>      Explain to me what a high-performing qubit      is.    <\/p>\n<p>      Yeah, so the tricky thing with these qubits There are      different ways of building qubits. There are people who use      ions and atoms and electrons and things like that, but ours      are actually just metal on a substrate; theyre circuits.      Theyre much like the circuits that you might see when you      look inside of a standard chip. But the problem with these      circuits is that you can build, so you can basically arrange      them in a certain way and use the right materials. And you      have a qubit that, in this case, for superconducting qubits,      it resonates at five gigahertz.    <\/p>\n<p>      If you choose the wrong materials, the lifetimes of these      qubits can be extremely short. So when we first started in      the field of building superconducting qubits in 1999,      superconducting qubits lasted for maybe like two nanoseconds,      five nanoseconds. Today, weve gotten up to close to a      millisecond, hundreds of microseconds to a millisecond.      Already in numbers orders of magnitude longer. But that took      many years of development. And at the point of a few hundred      microseconds, were able to do all these complex operations      that weve been talking about to push this utility scale that      we discussed earlier. So that know-how to increase that      lifetime comes down to engineering, comes down to      understanding the core pieces that generate loss in the      materials, and thats something that we certainly have      expertise at.    <\/p>\n<p>      Tell me about the industry at large. So IBM has one      approach: you said youre using metals on a substrate. Youre      leveraging all of the semiconductor know-how that IBM has.      When youre out in the market and youre looking at all your      competitors, Microsoft is doing something else, Google      something else. Go through the list for me. What are the      approaches, and how do you think theyre going?    <\/p>\n<p>      When we think about competitors, you can think about the      platform competitors of whos building the services, but I      think what youre pointing to more is the hardware side.    <\/p>\n<p>      When it comes down to it, theres a simple set of metrics for      you to compare the performance of the quantum processors.      Its scale: what number of qubits can you get to and build      reliably? Quality: how long do those qubits live for you to      perform operations and calculations on? And speed: how      quickly can you actually run executions and problems through      these quantum processors? And that speed part is something      where its an interplay between your quantum processor and      your classical computing infrastructure because they talk to      one another. You dont control a quantum computer without a      classical computer. And so you need to be able to get your      data in, data out and process it on the classical side.    <\/p>\n<p>      So scale, quality, speed. Our approach with superconducting      qubits, to the best of our knowledge, we can hit all three of      those in a very strong way. Scale, pushed up to over 1,000      qubits. We know that we can build up to 1,000 qubits already      with the technologies that weve built. From the quality,      Heron  which were releasing  has the best gate quality. So      the gates, the operations, the gate qualities that have been      shown across a large device. And then speed, in terms of just      the execution times, were on the order of microseconds for      some of the clock rates, whereas other approaches can be a      thousand orders of magnitude slower.    <\/p>\n<p>      What are the other approaches in the industry that      you see, and where are they beating you and where are you      ahead?    <\/p>\n<p>      So there are trapped ions: basically theyre using molecular      ions like caesium and things that you might use for clocks,      atomic clocks. They can have very good quality. In fact,      there are some results that have tremendous performance      across a number of those types of trapped-ion qubits in terms      of their two-qubit gate qualities. But theyre slow. In terms      of the clock rates of getting your operations in, getting      your operations out, you do operations to recycle the ion      sometimes. And thats where it, Id say, has a downside.    <\/p>\n<p>      Id say, right now, superconducting qubits and trapped ions      are the approaches that have the most prominence at the      moment that have been put out in terms of usable services.      Atoms have also emerged; its very similar to the trapped      ions. There, they use these fun little things called       optical tweezers to hold atoms into little arrays. And      there are some exciting results that have been coming out      from various atom groups there. But again, it comes down to      that speed. Anytime you have these actual atomic items,      either an ion or an atom, your clock rates end up hurting      you.    <\/p>\n<p>      Alright, let me make a comparison to semiconductors      again. So in semiconductors there was       multiple pattern lithography      that everyone chased for a minute, and it hit an end      state. And then TSMC had bet really big       on EUV and that let them push      ahead. And Intel had to make a big shift over there. Youre      looking at your roadmap, youre doing superconductors,      cryogenics, metals on substrates, and over here some guys are      doing optical tweezers on atoms. Is there a thought in your      head like, We better keep an eye on this because that might      be the process innovation that we actually need?    <\/p>\n<p>      I think overall, in the landscape, were always keeping track      of whats going on. Youre always seeing what are the latest      innovations in the various different technologies.    <\/p>\n<p>      Is that even a good comparison to semiconductors in      that way?    <\/p>\n<p>      The whole systems are completely different. The architectures      are not so compatible. At some level, with your nodes of your      semiconductors, there might be certain kinds of know-how that      translate how you route and layout, maybe. And here, above a      certain layer, theres also going to be commonality in terms      of the compute platform, how the quantum circuits are      generated. The software layers might be similar, but the      actual physical hardware are very different.    <\/p>\n<p>      It feels like the thing were talking about is how do      you make a qubit? And its not settled yet. You have an      approach that youre very confident in, but theres not a      winner in the market.    <\/p>\n<p>      I mean, were pretty confident. Were pretty confident in      superconducting qubits.    <\/p>\n<p>      Fair enough. [Laughs] I was just      wondering.    <\/p>\n<p>      Its why were able to prognosticate 10 years forward, that      we see the direction were going. And to me its more that      there are going to be innovations within that are going to      continue to compound over those 10 years, that might make it      even more attractive as time goes on. And thats just the      nature of technology.    <\/p>\n<p>      Youve got to make decisions on maybe the longest      timeline of anyone Ive had on the show. Its always the chip      people who have the longest timelines. I talk to social media      CEOs, and its like their timeline is like five minutes from      now, like, What are we going to ban today? Thats the      timeline. I talk to chip folks, and your timelines are      decades. You just casually mentioned a chip youre going to      ship in 2033. Thats a long time from now. How do you make      decisions on that kind of timeline?    <\/p>\n<p>      Theres the near-term stuff, obviously, and the roadmap      serves as that guide. That roadmap is constructed so that all      these various things do impact that long-term delivery.    <\/p>\n<p>      Just walk me through: What does the quantum computing      roadmap meeting look like? Youre all in a conference room,      are you at the whiteboard? Paint the picture for me.    <\/p>\n<p>        Its mainly an inertia thing to move entire industries,        move banks, move commerce, to adopt those standards      <\/p>\n<p>      Yeah, that is a great question. I mean, we have a number of      us who are sitting there. We certainly know that we have      certain types of technical foundations that we know that we      need to include into these next-generation chips and systems.    <\/p>\n<p>      For this roadmap, we said, We know at some point we need to      get quantum error correction into our roadmap. And with that      technical lead, we know what are the requirements? So first      we said, Okay, lets put it here. Now lets work backward.      It says that we need to do this innovation and this      innovation by this date, and this other innovation in the      software stack or whatever by this date. And then we say,      Oh shoot, we ran out of time. Lets move back a little bit.      And so we do a little bit of that planning, because we also      want to do it so that we lay out this roadmap that we often      call no-regrets decisions. We dont want to do things that      are just for the near term. We want to really pick strategies      that give us this long-term path.    <\/p>\n<p>      Its why we talk about utility scale so much in terms of what      we can do with Herons and soon Flamingos. But everything that      we want to build on top of what we can do there will      translate to what we can do when we get those systems at      scale, including error correction. And in terms of the      roadmap planning Were not done, by the way. We have this      overall framework for the 10-year roadmap, and then we need      to refine. Weve got a lot of details still to come to work      on in terms of what are those things that need to be worked      on across the software layer, the compiler layer, the control      electronics layer, and certainly at the processor layer.    <\/p>\n<p>      Is there commercial pressure on this? Again, this is      a lot of cost at a big public company. Is the CEO of IBM in      that room saying, Whens this going to make money? Move it      up?    <\/p>\n<p>      I think the point is, our mission is to bring useful quantum      computing to the world. Ive been working in this area for 20      years now. Weve never been this close to being able to build      something that is driving real value. And so I think when you      look at our team, we are all aligned along that mission. That      we want to drive this to something that We started with just      getting it out there in the cloud in terms of building the      community. Now, we fundamentally see this as a tool that will      alter how users are going to perform computation. And so      there has to be, and I expect there to be, value there. And      weve seen how the HPC community has progressed and weve      seen how supercomputing has... You could see whats happening      with the uptake of AI and everything. We build it, we will      build the community around it, well drive value.    <\/p>\n<p>      Lets talk about AI for a second. This is a really      good example of this. AI demand is through the roof. The      industry is hot. Well see if the products are long lasting,      but there seems to be real consumer demand for them. And that      is all translated into a      lot of people want a lot of Nvidia H100      chips. Its very narrowly focused on one kind of processor.      Do you see quantum systems coming into that zone where were      going to run a lot of AI workloads on them? Like future AI      workloads.    <\/p>\n<p>      Whats happened in AI is phenomenal, but were not at the      point where the quantum computer is this commodity item that      were just buying tons of chips. Youre not fabricating      millions of these chips. But we are going to build this      supercomputer based off of quantum computing, which is going      to be exquisitely good at certain types of tasks. And so the      framework that I actually see is  already youre going to      have your AI compute clusters. The way that people run      workloads today, Im sure they are running some parts on      their regular computers, on their own laptops, but parts of      the job get fed out to the cloud, to their hyperscalers, and      some of them are going to use the AI compute nodes.    <\/p>\n<p>      We see that also for how quantum will feed in. Itll be      another part of that overall cloud access landscape where      youre going to take a problem, youre going to break it      down. Youre going to have parts of it that run on classical      computing, parts of it that might run on AI, parts of it that      will leverage what we call quantum-centric supercomputing.      Thats the best place to solve that one part of the problem.      Then it comes back, and youve got to stitch all that      together. So from the IBM perspective, where we often talk      about hybrid cloud, thats the hybrid cloud that connects all      these pieces together. And differentiation is there in terms      of building this quantum-centric supercomputer within there.    <\/p>\n<p>      So your quantum-centric supercomputer in the cloud.      Weve talked a lot about superconducting now. You need a data      center thats very cold. This does not seem like a thing      thats going to happen locally, for me, ever, unless            LK-99 is real. This isnt going to      happen for anyone in their home outside of an IBM data center      for quite some time.    <\/p>\n<p>      I would say this. So when I was first working in this area      and did       my PhD in this area  I worked on superconducting qubits       we required these large canisters, these refrigerators,      where we need to wheel up these huge jugs of liquid helium      and fill them every three days to keep them cold. Now, thats      a physics experiment. I mean, there have already been      innovations in cryogenics that theyre turnkey: you plug them      in, they stay running, they can run for years and maintain      your payloads at the right temperatures. Youre paying      electricity, obviously, to keep them cold. But were seeing      innovations there, too, in terms of driving      infrastructure-scale cryogenics. Honestly, were going to      evolve the data center of the future, just like data centers      today have evolved to handle increased compute resources      needed. We will work hand in hand with how to build these      quantum data centers, and were already doing that. So we      have a quantum data center up in Poughkeepsie, which hosts      the majority of our systems, and were planning on expanding      that further.    <\/p>\n<p><!-- Auto Generated --><\/p>\n<p>Original post:<br \/>\n<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theverge.com\/23988271\/ibm-quantum-heron-system-two-jerry-chow-qubits\" title=\"IBM quantum computing updates: System Two and Heron - The Verge\" rel=\"noopener\">IBM quantum computing updates: System Two and Heron - The Verge<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Today, Im talking with Jerry Chow. Hes the director of quantum systems at IBM, meaning hes trying to build the future one qubit at a time.  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/quantum-computing\/ibm-quantum-computing-updates-system-two-and-heron-the-verge.php\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"limit_modified_date":"","last_modified_date":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[494694],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-167971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-quantum-computing"],"modified_by":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167971"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=167971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167971\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=167971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=167971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euvolution.com\/futurist-transhuman-news-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=167971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}