![\"Cardinal](\"https:\/\/wordpress-assets.futurism.com\/2025\/05\/polymarket-blindsided-new-pope.jpg\")
<\/div>Papal Predictor<\/h2>
Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market where users can place bets on events ranging from national elections to natural disasters<\/a>, got the Pope odds way <\/em>wrong.<\/p> Those forecasts were reflected in Polymarket as well as the similar platform Kalshi, which both took a hard turn toward Parolin as the public caught sight of white smoke<\/a>, according to Axios<\/em><\/a>. Meanwhile, market betters had Prevost hovering around a one-to-two percent chance of becoming the next Pope.<\/p> And yet, in a stunning twist of fate, it was the American-born Robert Prevost — a graduate of Villanova and the conclaver with the highest likelihood of ever consuming a hot dog and\/or $1.99 pizza slice from Costco — who clinched the title. According to a screenshot<\/a> posted to X-formerly-Twitter by Brew Markets<\/em>, Prevost was sitting at around 0.03 percent when his shock election was announced.<\/p> In short, Polymarketers were absolutely blindsided — highlighting how Polymarket's oft-exalted<\/a> predictive prowess isn't always all it's cracked up to be<\/a>.<\/p> Robert F. Prevost has been elected the first American pope in history.<\/p> Polymarket gave him just a 0.3% chance of being chosen. pic.twitter.com\/QzD41JYpU9<\/a><\/p> — Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) May 8, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote> The Vatican shocked the world today when the Chicago-born<\/a> American and Peruvian was named<\/a> Pope Leo XIV before taking to the balcony of St. Peter's Basilica to greet the world as Holy Father.<\/p> Prevost is the first American Pope, and appears to be the first Pope to retweet<\/a> Catholic Snoopy posts.<\/p> Though Prevost was an ally of his predecessor, the late Pope Francis, he was by no means seen as the frontrunner; most expected<\/a> either Italian Cardinal Pietro Parolin or Filipino Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle to ascend to the papacy.<\/p> The hard swing towards Parolin in the moments before the announcement broke was likely due to the conclave's speediness, as Axios<\/em> pointed out.<\/p> Anyway, if you're a Polymarket who bet on the American Prevost to win the papacy, email us!<\/p> More on Polymarket: <\/strong>Crypto Platforms Like Polymarket Now Taking Bets on Los Angeles Fire Devastation<\/em><\/a><\/p> The post Crypto Prediction Platform Polymarket Was Utterly Wrong About the New Pope<\/a> appeared first on Futurism<\/a>.<\/p> The rest is here: Papal Predictor Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market where users can place bets on events ranging from national elections to natural disasters , got the Pope odds way\u00a0 wrong. Continue reading Vatican Bombshell<\/h2>
Crypto Prediction Platform Polymarket Was Utterly Wrong About the New Pope<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"