Tomorrow is “Super Tuesday” in what has to rank as one of the most unpredictable Republican nomination battles. Over the course of the campaign, the lead (at least in polls) has been held by Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. While the race may or may not be decided tomorrow, one thing is certain: A lot more votes will have been cast.
The 10 states due to vote are Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont and Virginia.
Alaska (27 delegates) will have a caucus. Alaska does not appear to have been polled. In the past, Paul has done well in caucus states. Georgia (76 delegates) will have a primary. A recent poll by Public Policy Polling shows Gingrich with 47 percent, Romney 24, Santorum 19 and Paul 8. This is Gingrich’s home state, and he should win here.
Idaho (32 delegates) will have caucuses. It has not been polled recently. While the fact that it is a highly conservative state might seem to favor Santorum, the fact that it has large Mormon population might favor Romney. Further, Paul’s brand of libertarianism might also appeal here.
Massachusetts (41 delegates) has a primary. This is Romney’s home state and a poll from February shows him winning easily with 64 percent.
North Dakota (28 delegates) has a caucus. There are no recent polls. Paul may do well here.
Ohio (66 delegates) has a primary. The race here is very close. The latest poll shows Romney with 37 percent to Santorum’s 36, Gingrich 15 and Paul 11.
Oklahoma (43 delegates) has a primary. In the latest poll, Santorum is far ahead, with 37 percent to 26 for Romney, 22 for Gingrich and 9 for Paul.
Tennessee (58 delegates) has a primary. Recent polling shows Santorum leadaing with 34 percent to Romney’s 29 percent, Gingrich’s 27 and Paul’s 8
Vermont (17 delegates) has a primary; there appear to be no polls, but Romney should win easily, as he is from neighboring Massachusetts.
See original here:
(1) Candidates Look to Super TuesdayURL: http://voices.yahoo.com/candidates-look-super-tuesday-11053396.html
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